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Political representatives frequently make decisions with far-reaching implications for citizens and societies. Most of these decisions are choices in situations in which the probabilities of gains and losses are hard to estimate. Although decision-making is crucial to politics, existing research...
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state of Berlin and the federal level in Germany. State voting intentions for the state and for the federal parliament are … the endogenous variables; the federal election trend is treated as predetermined. Our results suggest that shocks in …
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In this paper incumbency effects in Federal Elections and Mayoral Elections in Germany are estimated using a quasi … parties in Germany cause an increase in vote share of 1.4%-1.7% in Federal Elections. Analyzing Mayoral Elections, the causal …
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